The Mamdani Franchise — an independent, non-partisan, open-source playbook. Not affiliated with the Mayor of New York City, the City of New York, or any campaign or party. Status: DRAFT v0.1 (Stage 2 synthesis) · Evidence cut-off: 2026-11-10.
Evidence IDs refer to rows in the evidence register. Every claim cites an ID with URL and date; unverified items are marked [UNVERIFIED]. Poll figures are reported as published; favorability and job approval are different measures and are labeled.
Summary disclosure
The administration carried a campaign-built social audience into government and built a communications operation around it:
- Structure: a Communications Director overseeing the press office, digital, new media and agency communications (EV-251), plus an Office of New Media and Cultural Communications that recruits creators, neighborhood pages and community outlets (EV-252).
- Scale of creator outreach: the NYT reported City Hall has worked with more than 1,200 content creators and coordinates 250+ influencers in group chats (EV-140).
- Formats: self-produced video (often posted before press coverage), multilingual posts, a live-streamed Q&A on Twitch/YouTube/TikTok, an official 100-day tracker, and reinstated TikTok use by agencies under security rules (EV-253 EV-091 EV-088 EV-085 EV-082 EV-083).
Results: NYC favorability rose from the 50s in spring to 69% in October 2026 (Siena), while job approval in April was 43–48% depending on the pollster, below Adams' 61% at the same point (per the NYT) (EV-089 EV-255 EV-147 EV-254).
Costs and critiques: the first City Hall press conference admitted only "new media" creators (EV-080); reporters described closed-press events with favored outlets tipped off (EV-253); watchdogs raised records-retention and transparency concerns about the influencer program, and City Hall declined to disclose its budget or list (EV-140).
Transferability: the operating model (an in-house creator desk, direct video, multilingual posts, a public tracker) is low-cost and transfers widely. The audience does not: NYC started with millions of followers built during the campaign (EV-078 [UNVERIFIED]).
Channel and format inventory
| Channel / format | Owner | First documented | Example | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Personal accounts (Instagram, TikTok) | Mayor | Campaign | Reported at 4.5M–5.9M on Instagram and 1.7M–2.2M on TikTok around Election Day (sources differ) | EV-078 |
| Official @NYCMayor (X, Instagram) | Mayor's Office | Jan 2026 | Budget news posted first on X (May 12); direct replies to residents' viral requests | EV-086 EV-087 |
| Self-produced video | Mayor's Office | Jan 2026 | Storm videos from Sanitation garages; shoveling; event clips posted instead of waiting for coverage | EV-256 EV-253 |
| "New media" press events | New Media & Cultural Comms | Jan 7, 2026 | First City Hall press conference for creators only | EV-080 |
| Creator network | New Media & Cultural Comms | 2026 | 1,200+ creators; 250+ in Signal chats; some paid through agency programs | EV-140 EV-252 |
| Live-streamed Q&A | Mayor's Office | May 2026 | "Talk With The People" on Twitch, simulcast on YouTube and TikTok | EV-088 |
| Agency TikTok | Agencies under NYC Cyber Command rules | Mar 31, 2026 | Ban reversed via a TikTok post; dedicated devices, agency credentials | EV-082 EV-083 |
| Multilingual posts | Mayor's Office | 2026 | Videos in Bangla, Mandarin, Spanish and English (Broadway ticket lottery) | EV-091 |
| Official tracker | Mayor's Office | Apr 12, 2026 | 100-days site with self-reported figures | EV-085 |
| Traditional press conferences | Press Office | Jan 2026 | Daily availability per the Mayor; joint events (e.g., with the President, Sept 21) | EV-253 EV-258 |
| Government-run engagement | Office of Mass Engagement | Apr 29, 2026 | Organize NYC canvasses; Talk to Tenants (Item 4) | EV-230 EV-232 |
Public opinion over time
| Date (field) | Pollster | Population | Measure | NYC result | Statewide | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8–12, 2025 | Siena | NY registered voters | Favorability | 61–23 | — | EV-079 |
| Jan 26–28, 2026 | Siena | NY registered voters | Favorability | — | 48–32 | EV-144 |
| ~Apr 2026 | Marist | NYC adults | Job approval | 48–30; 56% right direction | — | EV-254 |
| Apr 5–6, 2026 | Emerson/PIX11 | NYC registered voters | Job approval | 43–27; 59% wrong track | — | EV-147 |
| Jun 17–23, 2026 | Siena | NY registered voters | Favorability | 58–26 | 45–34 | EV-089 EV-148 |
| Aug 3–6, 2026 | Siena | NY likely voters | Favorability | 69–24 | 47–44 | EV-263 EV-090 |
| Sept 17–20, 2026 | Quinnipiac | NY likely voters | Favorability | 60–29 | 46–36 | EV-092 |
| Oct 19–22, 2026 | Siena | NY likely voters | Favorability | 69–28 (60–31 in Sept) | 47–43 | EV-255 |
The August figures are confirmed by Siena's own release; the 58–26 / 45–34 figures reported on Aug 12 by one outlet were Siena's June results.
Reading the table: NYC figures in the Siena and Quinnipiac rows are subsamples of statewide polls. The two direct job-approval readings (spring) were lower than the favorability readings later in the year, and they measure different things. No causal link between communications tactics and opinion is claimed.
Key questions — status
| # | Question | Status | Short answer | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Which channels are used, and at what cadence? | Partial | See inventory; no event counts compiled | EV-251 EV-252 EV-093 |
| 2 | Which formats recur? | Answered | Self-shot video, creator events, live Q&A, multilingual posts, tracker | Inventory |
| 3 | Which message frames recur, and are they tied to deliverables? | Answered | Affordability, tied to named deliverables (rent freeze, 2-K, 16 repairs, tracker) | EV-085 EV-043 EV-124 |
| 4 | How are setbacks communicated? | Partial | "First step" framing; "full-term goal"; what AP called an "unusually dour" gap briefing with two named paths | EV-116 EV-118 EV-257 |
| 5 | Press-conference cadence and access policy; disputes? | Partial | Daily availability per the Mayor; creator-only and closed-press events disputed | EV-080 EV-253 |
| 6 | What do polls show over time? | Answered | See table | Poll table |
| 7 | Engagement data and how to interpret it? | Not answered | Follower counts unverified; City declined to disclose influencer budget | EV-078 EV-140 |
Message discipline
| Frame | How it was tied to a deliverable | Evidence |
|---|---|---|
| Affordability (rent, child care, groceries, buses) | Rent freeze vote; 2-K seats; 100-day tracker figures | EV-124 EV-112 EV-085 |
| Visible small fixes | 16 repairs promised for 100 days; one chosen by a public vote with 21,000+ votes | EV-043 |
| Two-path gap presentation | Budget gap presented with two named paths: State taxes on the wealthy or a local property-tax increase | EV-257 EV-104 |
| Setbacks as phases | Office of Community Safety called a "first step"; fare-free buses a "full-term goal" | EV-116 EV-118 |
Findings by phase
Transition (Nov 4 – Dec 31, 2025)
Summary: The Mayor-elect held a large personal social audience, reported at 1.7M–2.2M on TikTok and 4.5M–5.9M on Instagram depending on the source (EV-078) and an NYC favorability of 61–23 (EV-079). Siena also found 65% statewide support for universal free child care and 50% city support for fare-free buses (EV-079). A 12-hour listening session in Queens produced one-on-one meetings with 100+ residents (EV-007).
Reversals / critiques in this phase: None recorded.
Evidence IDs: EV-007 EV-078 EV-079
First 100 days (Jan 1 – Apr 10, 2026)
Summary:
- Team: senior communications hires announced Jan 8, led by a former Sanders communications director (EV-251).
- Creator-first access: the first City Hall press conference (Jan 7) admitted only "new media" creators; established outlets were told the room was full (EV-080).
- Storms: storm communication relied on self-shot video from Sanitation garages and the street; Vital City noted fair criticism of management after the first storm (EV-256). Cold-snap deaths and a social services commissioner's resignation followed (EV-010).
- TikTok: the agency TikTok ban was reversed via a TikTok post, with security conditions (EV-082 EV-083).
- Budget: what AP called an "unusually dour" budget briefing set out two paths to close the gap (EV-257).
- Tracker: the official 100-day tracker launched with self-reported figures (EV-085).
- Polls at day 100: job approval 48–30 (Marist, adults) and 43–27 (Emerson, registered voters) (EV-254 EV-147).
Tactics
| Tactic | Mechanism (who/what/when) | Primary source + date | Measured outcome | Cost/trade-off | Preconditions | Transferability (H/M/L + why) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Creator-first press event | New-media-only press conference in the Blue Room, Jan 7 | CBS NY, Jan 8 (EV-080) | Coverage across creator channels (not quantified) | Exclusion criticism from established outlets | An existing creator network | H (method) / M (reach) |
| Self-shot crisis video | Mayor films storm operations himself | Vital City, Feb 25 (EV-256) | Contemporaneous storm-response grades (Emerson): 29% A, 33% B (EV-084) | Vital City said the Mayor took "fair hits" for storm management (EV-256) | Mayor comfortable on camera | H |
| Publish a public tracker at 100 days | Official website with self-reported figures | City, Apr 12 (EV-085) | Tracker live | Figures unaudited | Data pipeline from agencies | H |
| Reinstate agency social platforms with security rules | TikTok ban reversed; dedicated devices, credentials | AP, Mar 31 (EV-082 EV-083) | Agencies permitted | Security/governance overhead | Cyber security office | H |
Reversals / critiques in this phase: press exclusion (EV-080); closed-press practices (EV-253); friction with the MTA over a reported World Cup bus pilot (EV-081).
Evidence IDs: EV-010 EV-080 EV-081 EV-082 EV-083 EV-084 EV-085 EV-147 EV-251 EV-253 EV-254 EV-256 EV-257
First budget (FY27: Preliminary Feb → Adopted Jun 2026)
Summary: Budget news was posted first on the official X account (May 12) (EV-086). The Office of New Media and Cultural Communications recruited deputy press secretaries for creator partnerships and ethnic/community media (EV-252). A live-streamed Q&A series launched in May (EV-088). June polling showed NYC favorability at 58–26 (EV-089).
| Tactic | Mechanism (who/what/when) | Primary source + date | Measured outcome | Cost/trade-off | Preconditions | Transferability (H/M/L + why) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Staff a creator and community-media desk | Deputy press secretaries for creators ($90–100K) and ethnic/community media (July posting) | NYC Jobs, Apr 29 (EV-252) | Desk operating | Headcount (see Office of the Mayor growth, Item 6) | Budget for comms staff | H |
| Live Q&A on streaming platforms | "Talk With The People" on Twitch/YouTube/TikTok | Tubefilter, May 21 (EV-088) | Cadence not published | Unscripted risk | Mayor willing to take live questions | H |
Reversals / critiques in this phase: None new recorded.
Evidence IDs: EV-086 EV-088 EV-089 EV-252
Year 1 (Jul – Dec 2026)
Summary: The NYT reported the influencer operation's scale (1,200+ creators, 250+ in Signal chats, some paid via agency programs); City Hall declined to disclose its budget or list, and Citizens Union raised records-retention concerns (EV-140). Multilingual video promoted a Broadway ticket lottery (EV-091). At a Sept 21 joint event, the Mayor said outlets banned from the White House would be welcome (EV-258). Quinnipiac and Siena showed NYC favorability at 60% in September (EV-092 EV-255).
| Tactic | Mechanism (who/what/when) | Primary source + date | Measured outcome | Cost/trade-off | Preconditions | Transferability (H/M/L + why) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Multilingual short video for program uptake | Same message in four languages | ThePrint, Aug 17 (EV-091) | Uptake not reported | Translation capacity | Multilingual staff | H |
| Open access at a high-profile joint event | Mayor said outlets banned from the White House would be welcome; TheWrap reported they attended | TheWrap, Sept 21 (EV-258) | — | — | Host control of the venue | H |
Reversals / critiques in this phase: influencer transparency and records retention (EV-140).
Evidence IDs: EV-091 EV-092 EV-140 EV-255 EV-258 EV-263
Present (rolling; last updated: 2026-11-10)
Summary: Siena's October poll put NYC favorability at 69–28 and statewide at 47–43 (EV-255). An independent daily archive of the Mayor's remarks exists and could be used to count press conferences (EV-093).
Reversals / critiques in this phase: None new recorded.
Franchise notes — what transfers
| Element | Transferability | Why |
|---|---|---|
| In-house creator / community-media desk | H | A few staff; works at any city size |
| Mayor-shot video in crises | H | Low cost; must be paired with service delivery |
| Public tracker with named deliverables | H | Requires agency data feeds; publish methods to avoid "self-reported" critiques |
| Multilingual posts | H | Match to local language mix |
| Creator-only press events | M | Draws press-access criticism; consider open events alongside |
| Paid creator partnerships | M | Set records-retention and disclosure rules first (EV-140) |
| Campaign-scale personal audience | L | Not replicable by policy |
Open questions & gaps
- Count of press conferences, closed-press events and off-topic Q&A (use EV-093).
- Verified follower and engagement data; separation of personal vs official accounts.
- New-media office budget and creator payments (undisclosed).
- Primary Siena releases for August–October 2026.
- Effect of communications on approval — not measurable with the evidence held.
Changelog
| Date | Change | By |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | Skeleton created (Stage 0) | Editor |
| 2026-11-10 | Corrections after independent review (August Siena resolved, attribution, dates); new evidence EV-263 | Editor |
| 2026-11-10 | Draft v0.1 synthesis: channel inventory, poll series, message frames, all phases; new evidence EV-251–EV-258 | Editor |
| 2026-11-11 | Follower counts given as a sourced range (EV-078); EV-087 flag removed | Editor |